Rank Analysis — RTA Analytics

📈 Rank Overview

Games

16,606

WR: 50.0%
P1: 50.0%

Games

140,125

WR: 50.0%
P1: 50.0%

Games

537,971

WR: 50.0%
P1: 50.0%

Games

1,725,443

WR: 50.0%
P1: 50.0%

Games

4,457,569

WR: 50.0%
P1: 50.0%

Games

23,081,779

WR: 50.0%
P1: 50.0%

📈 Rank Cutoff Growth

Projected final cutoffs and checkpoints leading into season end. Passed checkpoints use observations; upcoming checkpoints use the forecast.

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A Actual recorded cutoff P Projected cutoff

📉 Rank Cutoff History (Season 39)

Historical rank cutoff scores showing difficulty trends over time

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⚡ Rank Cutoff History (Last 24 Hours)

Hourly cutoff snapshots for the most recent 24-hour window

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🎮 Games Played by Rank

Activity distribution across rank tiers

End-of-Season Cutoff Forecast

Forecast as of 2026-11-12. The range represents model uncertainty.

39 days remaining

Rank	As-of cutoff	Predicted final	Likely range	Expected rise	Recent pace	Confidence	Evidence
G3	1,499	1,568	1,499–1,693	+69	Unfilled / censored	Low	4 seasons · 124.7 pt momentum backtest error
G2	1,400	1,493	1,423–1,563	+93	Unfilled / censored	Low	4 seasons · 70.3 pt momentum backtest error
G1	1,300	1,396	1,333–1,459	+96	Unfilled / censored	Low	4 seasons · 62.9 pt momentum backtest error
P3	1,200	1,336	1,265–1,406	+136	Unfilled / censored	Low	4 seasons · 70.3 pt momentum backtest error
P2	1,116	1,238	1,160–1,316	+122	Unfilled / censored	Low	4 seasons · 27.6 pt momentum backtest error
P1	800	868	800–952	+68	Unfilled / censored	Low	4 seasons · 69.9 pt momentum backtest error

Click ranks to toggle projected paths. Every selected rank includes its own shaded ±1 SE band; the most recently selected rank supplies the attribution details.

G3 projected path Shaded area = ±1 SE

Prediction method: 41% recent momentum + 59% historical analog
Historical same-stage gain: 115.5 pts · Participation multiplier: 0.75× · G2 promotion-pressure multiplier: 0.8×
Ridge diagnostic (0% forecast weight): 57.7 pts · 147 training checkpoints

Show exact inputs and diagnostic details

Recent momentum (41% model weight)

Weighted recent velocity: 0.6 pts/day

2026-11-06 to 2026-11-07: 2.0 pts/day × 6.7% = 0.133 pts/day

2026-11-07 to 2026-11-08: 1.0 pts/day × 13.3% = 0.133 pts/day

2026-11-08 to 2026-11-09: 0.0 pts/day × 20.0% = 0.0 pts/day

2026-11-09 to 2026-11-10: 0.0 pts/day × 26.7% = 0.0 pts/day

2026-11-10 to 2026-11-11: 1.0 pts/day × 33.3% = 0.333 pts/day

Time remaining: 38.67 days

Historical end-rush multiplier: 3.0×

S37: 61.67 remaining points ÷ 12.89 linear points = 3.0×

S36: 169.33 remaining points ÷ 30.93 linear points = 3.0×

S35: 202.33 remaining points ÷ 309.33 linear points = 0.654×

S34: 53.0 remaining points ÷ 0.0 linear points = N/A×

Momentum subtotal: 69.6 raw → 28.71 weighted pts

Ridge diagnostic by variable (0% model weight)

Baseline/intercept: 81.78 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available in final 24h: 0.0 coefficient × 0.0 standardized value = 0.0 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available in hours 24–72: 0.0 coefficient × 0.19 standardized value = 0.0 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available in days 3–7: 0.0 coefficient × 0.37 standardized value = 0.0 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available before final week: 58.95 coefficient × 0.68 standardized value = 39.88 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Recent velocity: -3.93 coefficient × -1.0 standardized value = 3.95 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Log activity: 30.59 coefficient × -3.01 standardized value = -92.02 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

G2 velocity: 1.24 coefficient × -0.94 standardized value = -1.17 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Gap above G2: -22.9 coefficient × 0.69 standardized value = -15.84 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Log G2 activity: -15.41 coefficient × -2.67 standardized value = 41.16 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Regression subtotal = 0.0 pts (raw total 57.75)

Historical analog, broken down (59% model weight)

Same-stage historical gain: 115.5 × 0.5875 = 67.86 pts

Activity adjustment = -16.96 pts

Lower-rank promotion-pressure adjustment = -10.18 pts

Historical subtotal = 40.71 pts

Non-decreasing floor adjustment = 0.0 pts

Modeled gain = 28.71 momentum + 40.71 historical analog + 0.0 floor = 69.42 pts

Predicted final = 1499.0 current + 69.42 final gain = 1568.4

Forecast attribution

Forecast factor	Calculation	Weight/type	Contribution	What it does
Recent momentum	0.6 pts/day × 38.67 days × 3.0 rush = 69.6 pts; reliability 75% vs. 0.8 historical pts/day	41%	+28.71 pts	Recency-weighted growth from the latest five cutoff intervals.
Historical same-stage gain	115.5 pts × 59%	59%	+67.86 pts	Median remaining gain at the same time-to-end in prior seasons.
Activity adjustment	0.75× multiplier	Analog modifier	-16.96 pts	Neutral when activity is unavailable or the rank is filled.
Lower-rank pressure	0.8× multiplier	Analog modifier	-10.18 pts	Uses the movement of the tier immediately below a censored rank.
Non-negative floor	Prevents a negative remaining gain	Constraint	+0.0 pts	The predicted cutoff cannot fall below its current value.
Final expected rise	28.71 momentum + 40.71 adjusted analog + 0.0 floor	Final	+69.42 pts	1499.0 + 69.42 = 1568.4

Every row above contributes to the final forecast. Expand the diagnostic details to inspect individual daily momentum weights, historical rush inputs, and the unused ridge output.

G2 projected path Shaded area = ±1 SE

Prediction method: 0% recent momentum + 100% historical analog
Historical same-stage gain: 116.2 pts · Participation multiplier: 1.0× · G1 promotion-pressure multiplier: 0.8×
Ridge diagnostic (0% forecast weight): 93.5 pts · 155 training checkpoints

Show exact inputs and diagnostic details

Recent momentum (0% model weight)

Weighted recent velocity: 0.0 pts/day

2026-11-07 to 2026-11-08: 0.0 pts/day × 6.7% = 0.0 pts/day

2026-11-08 to 2026-11-09: 0.0 pts/day × 13.3% = 0.0 pts/day

2026-11-09 to 2026-11-10: 0.0 pts/day × 20.0% = 0.0 pts/day

2026-11-10 to 2026-11-11: 0.0 pts/day × 26.7% = 0.0 pts/day

2026-11-11 to 2026-11-12: 0.0 pts/day × 33.3% = 0.0 pts/day

Time remaining: 36.74 days

Historical end-rush multiplier: 1.327×

S37: 63.53 remaining points ÷ 7.35 linear points = 3.0×

S36: 168.94 remaining points ÷ 127.35 linear points = 1.327×

S35: 168.91 remaining points ÷ 262.29 linear points = 0.644×

S34: 49.0 remaining points ÷ 0.0 linear points = N/A×

Momentum subtotal: 0.0 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Ridge diagnostic by variable (0% model weight)

Baseline/intercept: 80.51 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available in final 24h: 0.0 coefficient × 0.0 standardized value = 0.0 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available in hours 24–72: 0.0 coefficient × 0.18 standardized value = 0.0 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available in days 3–7: 10.86 coefficient × 0.36 standardized value = 3.9 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available before final week: 68.77 coefficient × 0.43 standardized value = 29.87 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Recent velocity: 4.74 coefficient × -0.91 standardized value = -4.31 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Log activity: 31.13 coefficient × 0.29 standardized value = 9.08 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

G1 velocity: -10.02 coefficient × -0.9 standardized value = 9.05 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Gap above G1: -33.98 coefficient × 0.95 standardized value = -32.39 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Log G1 activity: -9.83 coefficient × 0.22 standardized value = -2.16 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Regression subtotal = 0.0 pts (raw total 93.55)

Historical analog, broken down (100% model weight)

Same-stage historical gain: 116.22 × 1.0 = 116.22 pts

Activity adjustment = 0.0 pts

Lower-rank promotion-pressure adjustment = -23.24 pts

Historical subtotal = 92.98 pts

Non-decreasing floor adjustment = 0.0 pts

Modeled gain = 0.0 momentum + 92.98 historical analog + 0.0 floor = 92.98 pts

Predicted final = 1400.0 current + 92.98 final gain = 1493.0

Forecast attribution

Forecast factor	Calculation	Weight/type	Contribution	What it does
Recent momentum	0.0 pts/day × 36.74 days × 1.327 rush = 0.0 pts; reliability 0% vs. 3.47 historical pts/day	0%	+0.0 pts	Recency-weighted growth from the latest five cutoff intervals.
Historical same-stage gain	116.22 pts × 100%	100%	+116.22 pts	Median remaining gain at the same time-to-end in prior seasons.
Activity adjustment	1.0× multiplier	Analog modifier	+0.0 pts	Neutral when activity is unavailable or the rank is filled.
Lower-rank pressure	0.8× multiplier	Analog modifier	-23.24 pts	Uses the movement of the tier immediately below a censored rank.
Non-negative floor	Prevents a negative remaining gain	Constraint	+0.0 pts	The predicted cutoff cannot fall below its current value.
Final expected rise	0.0 momentum + 92.98 adjusted analog + 0.0 floor	Final	+92.98 pts	1400.0 + 92.98 = 1493.0

Every row above contributes to the final forecast. Expand the diagnostic details to inspect individual daily momentum weights, historical rush inputs, and the unused ridge output.

G1 projected path Shaded area = ±1 SE

Prediction method: 9% recent momentum + 91% historical analog
Historical same-stage gain: 128.7 pts · Participation multiplier: 1.0× · P3 promotion-pressure multiplier: 0.8×
Ridge diagnostic (0% forecast weight): 86.4 pts · 167 training checkpoints

Show exact inputs and diagnostic details

Recent momentum (9% model weight)

Weighted recent velocity: 0.47 pts/day

2026-11-07 to 2026-11-08: 0.0 pts/day × 6.7% = 0.0 pts/day

2026-11-08 to 2026-11-09: 1.0 pts/day × 13.3% = 0.133 pts/day

2026-11-09 to 2026-11-10: 0.0 pts/day × 20.0% = 0.0 pts/day

2026-11-10 to 2026-11-11: 0.0 pts/day × 26.7% = 0.0 pts/day

2026-11-11 to 2026-11-12: 1.0 pts/day × 33.3% = 0.333 pts/day

Time remaining: 36.74 days

Historical end-rush multiplier: 1.727×

S37: 91.0 remaining points ÷ 19.59 linear points = 3.0×

S36: 192.68 remaining points ÷ 176.33 linear points = 1.093×

S35: 166.41 remaining points ÷ 220.41 linear points = 0.755×

S34: 73.39 remaining points ÷ 31.08 linear points = 2.361×

Momentum subtotal: 29.6 raw → 2.69 weighted pts

Ridge diagnostic by variable (0% model weight)

Baseline/intercept: 101.62 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available in final 24h: 0.0 coefficient × 0.0 standardized value = 0.0 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available in hours 24–72: 3.94 coefficient × 0.17 standardized value = 0.69 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available in days 3–7: 8.09 coefficient × 0.34 standardized value = 2.79 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available before final week: 77.3 coefficient × 0.27 standardized value = 20.62 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Recent velocity: -3.72 coefficient × -0.72 standardized value = 2.67 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Log activity: 67.47 coefficient × 0.29 standardized value = 19.53 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

P3 velocity: 21.72 coefficient × -1.31 standardized value = -28.55 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Gap above P3: -12.36 coefficient × 1.32 standardized value = -16.26 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Log P3 activity: -60.64 coefficient × 0.28 standardized value = -16.73 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Regression subtotal = 0.0 pts (raw total 86.38)

Historical analog, broken down (91% model weight)

Same-stage historical gain: 128.71 × 0.9091445427728613 = 117.01 pts

Activity adjustment = 0.0 pts

Lower-rank promotion-pressure adjustment = -23.4 pts

Historical subtotal = 93.61 pts

Non-decreasing floor adjustment = 0.0 pts

Modeled gain = 2.69 momentum + 93.61 historical analog + 0.0 floor = 96.3 pts

Predicted final = 1300.0 current + 96.3 final gain = 1396.3

Forecast attribution

Forecast factor	Calculation	Weight/type	Contribution	What it does
Recent momentum	0.47 pts/day × 36.74 days × 1.727 rush = 29.6 pts; reliability 16% vs. 2.82 historical pts/day	9%	+2.69 pts	Recency-weighted growth from the latest five cutoff intervals.
Historical same-stage gain	128.71 pts × 91%	91%	+117.01 pts	Median remaining gain at the same time-to-end in prior seasons.
Activity adjustment	1.0× multiplier	Analog modifier	+0.0 pts	Neutral when activity is unavailable or the rank is filled.
Lower-rank pressure	0.8× multiplier	Analog modifier	-23.4 pts	Uses the movement of the tier immediately below a censored rank.
Non-negative floor	Prevents a negative remaining gain	Constraint	+0.0 pts	The predicted cutoff cannot fall below its current value.
Final expected rise	2.69 momentum + 93.61 adjusted analog + 0.0 floor	Final	+96.3 pts	1300.0 + 96.3 = 1396.3

Every row above contributes to the final forecast. Expand the diagnostic details to inspect individual daily momentum weights, historical rush inputs, and the unused ridge output.

P3 projected path Shaded area = ±1 SE

Prediction method: 3% recent momentum + 97% historical analog
Historical same-stage gain: 174.2 pts · Participation multiplier: 1.0× · P2 promotion-pressure multiplier: 0.8×
Ridge diagnostic (0% forecast weight): 106.8 pts · 169 training checkpoints

Show exact inputs and diagnostic details

Recent momentum (3% model weight)

Weighted recent velocity: 0.27 pts/day

2026-11-07 to 2026-11-08: 0.0 pts/day × 6.7% = 0.0 pts/day

2026-11-08 to 2026-11-09: 0.0 pts/day × 13.3% = 0.0 pts/day

2026-11-09 to 2026-11-10: 0.0 pts/day × 20.0% = 0.0 pts/day

2026-11-10 to 2026-11-11: 1.0 pts/day × 26.7% = 0.267 pts/day

2026-11-11 to 2026-11-12: 0.0 pts/day × 33.3% = 0.0 pts/day

Time remaining: 36.74 days

Historical end-rush multiplier: 1.145×

S37: 152.0 remaining points ÷ 0.0 linear points = N/A×

S36: 218.68 remaining points ÷ 191.02 linear points = 1.145×

S35: 196.49 remaining points ÷ 209.39 linear points = 0.938×

S34: 95.31 remaining points ÷ 45.75 linear points = 2.084×

Momentum subtotal: 11.21 raw → 0.32 weighted pts

Ridge diagnostic by variable (0% model weight)

Baseline/intercept: 141.19 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available in final 24h: 0.0 coefficient × 0.0 standardized value = 0.0 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available in hours 24–72: 0.2 coefficient × 0.17 standardized value = 0.03 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available in days 3–7: 3.76 coefficient × 0.34 standardized value = 1.28 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available before final week: 73.54 coefficient × 0.2 standardized value = 14.76 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Recent velocity: -4.92 coefficient × -1.28 standardized value = 6.27 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Log activity: -30.38 coefficient × 0.29 standardized value = -8.77 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

P2 velocity: 26.74 coefficient × -0.87 standardized value = -23.16 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Gap above P2: -29.09 coefficient × 1.0 standardized value = -29.07 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Log P2 activity: 18.13 coefficient × 0.23 standardized value = 4.25 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Regression subtotal = 0.0 pts (raw total 106.77)

Historical analog, broken down (97% model weight)

Same-stage historical gain: 174.25 × 0.9717948717948718 = 169.33 pts

Activity adjustment = 0.0 pts

Lower-rank promotion-pressure adjustment = -33.87 pts

Historical subtotal = 135.46 pts

Non-decreasing floor adjustment = 0.0 pts

Modeled gain = 0.32 momentum + 135.46 historical analog + 0.0 floor = 135.78 pts

Predicted final = 1200.0 current + 135.78 final gain = 1335.8

Forecast attribution

Forecast factor	Calculation	Weight/type	Contribution	What it does
Recent momentum	0.27 pts/day × 36.74 days × 1.145 rush = 11.21 pts; reliability 5% vs. 5.2 historical pts/day	3%	+0.32 pts	Recency-weighted growth from the latest five cutoff intervals.
Historical same-stage gain	174.25 pts × 97%	97%	+169.33 pts	Median remaining gain at the same time-to-end in prior seasons.
Activity adjustment	1.0× multiplier	Analog modifier	+0.0 pts	Neutral when activity is unavailable or the rank is filled.
Lower-rank pressure	0.8× multiplier	Analog modifier	-33.87 pts	Uses the movement of the tier immediately below a censored rank.
Non-negative floor	Prevents a negative remaining gain	Constraint	+0.0 pts	The predicted cutoff cannot fall below its current value.
Final expected rise	0.32 momentum + 135.46 adjusted analog + 0.0 floor	Final	+135.78 pts	1200.0 + 135.78 = 1335.8

Every row above contributes to the final forecast. Expand the diagnostic details to inspect individual daily momentum weights, historical rush inputs, and the unused ridge output.

P2 projected path Shaded area = ±1 SE

Prediction method: 20% recent momentum + 80% historical analog
Historical same-stage gain: 137.8 pts · Participation multiplier: 1.0× · P1 promotion-pressure multiplier: 1.0×
P1 velocity excluded because it is unstable; only its score gap and activity are used.
Ridge diagnostic (0% forecast weight): 106.8 pts · 171 training checkpoints

Show exact inputs and diagnostic details

Recent momentum (20% model weight)

Weighted recent velocity: 1.8 pts/day

2026-11-07 to 2026-11-08: 5.0 pts/day × 6.7% = 0.333 pts/day

2026-11-08 to 2026-11-09: 3.0 pts/day × 13.3% = 0.4 pts/day

2026-11-09 to 2026-11-10: 2.0 pts/day × 20.0% = 0.4 pts/day

2026-11-10 to 2026-11-11: 0.0 pts/day × 26.7% = 0.0 pts/day

2026-11-11 to 2026-11-12: 2.0 pts/day × 33.3% = 0.667 pts/day

Time remaining: 36.74 days

Historical end-rush multiplier: 0.92×

S37: 117.21 remaining points ÷ 127.35 linear points = 0.92×

S36: 179.68 remaining points ÷ 178.78 linear points = 1.005×

S35: 158.41 remaining points ÷ 220.41 linear points = 0.719×

S34: 24.0 remaining points ÷ 0.0 linear points = N/A×

Momentum subtotal: 60.86 raw → 12.37 weighted pts

Ridge diagnostic by variable (0% model weight)

Baseline/intercept: 119.46 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available in final 24h: 0.0 coefficient × 0.0 standardized value = 0.0 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available in hours 24–72: 1.42 coefficient × 0.17 standardized value = 0.24 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available in days 3–7: 1.44 coefficient × 0.34 standardized value = 0.49 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available before final week: 78.93 coefficient × 0.18 standardized value = 13.95 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Recent velocity: 28.62 coefficient × -0.84 standardized value = -23.93 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Log activity: -21.08 coefficient × 0.25 standardized value = -5.25 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Gap above P1: 5.3 coefficient × 0.34 standardized value = 1.8 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Log P1 activity: 0.0 coefficient × 0.0 standardized value = 0.0 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Regression subtotal = 0.0 pts (raw total 106.75)

Historical analog, broken down (80% model weight)

Same-stage historical gain: 137.81 × 0.7967145790554415 = 109.79 pts

Activity adjustment = 0.0 pts

Lower-rank promotion-pressure adjustment = 0.0 pts

Historical subtotal = 109.79 pts

Non-decreasing floor adjustment = 0.0 pts

Modeled gain = 12.37 momentum + 109.79 historical analog + 0.0 floor = 122.17 pts

Predicted final = 1116.0 current + 122.17 final gain = 1238.2

Forecast attribution

Forecast factor	Calculation	Weight/type	Contribution	What it does
Recent momentum	1.8 pts/day × 36.74 days × 0.92 rush = 60.86 pts; reliability 37% vs. 4.87 historical pts/day	20%	+12.37 pts	Recency-weighted growth from the latest five cutoff intervals.
Historical same-stage gain	137.81 pts × 80%	80%	+109.79 pts	Median remaining gain at the same time-to-end in prior seasons.
Activity adjustment	1.0× multiplier	Analog modifier	+0.0 pts	Neutral when activity is unavailable or the rank is filled.
Lower-rank pressure	1.0× multiplier	Analog modifier	+0.0 pts	Uses the movement of the tier immediately below a censored rank.
Non-negative floor	Prevents a negative remaining gain	Constraint	+0.0 pts	The predicted cutoff cannot fall below its current value.
Final expected rise	12.37 momentum + 109.79 adjusted analog + 0.0 floor	Final	+122.17 pts	1116.0 + 122.17 = 1238.2

Every row above contributes to the final forecast. Expand the diagnostic details to inspect individual daily momentum weights, historical rush inputs, and the unused ridge output.

P1 projected path Shaded area = ±1 SE

Prediction method: 0% recent momentum + 100% historical analog
Historical same-stage gain: 67.6 pts · Participation multiplier: 1.0×
Ridge diagnostic (0% forecast weight): 115.3 pts · 159 training checkpoints

Show exact inputs and diagnostic details

Recent momentum (0% model weight)

Weighted recent velocity: 0.0 pts/day

2026-11-07 to 2026-11-08: 0.0 pts/day × 6.7% = 0.0 pts/day

2026-11-08 to 2026-11-09: 0.0 pts/day × 13.3% = 0.0 pts/day

2026-11-09 to 2026-11-10: 0.0 pts/day × 20.0% = 0.0 pts/day

2026-11-10 to 2026-11-11: 0.0 pts/day × 26.7% = 0.0 pts/day

2026-11-11 to 2026-11-12: 0.0 pts/day × 33.3% = 0.0 pts/day

Time remaining: 36.74 days

Historical end-rush multiplier: 0.75×

S37: 104.0 remaining points ÷ 44.08 linear points = 2.359×

S36: 31.26 remaining points ÷ 7320.09 linear points = 0.5×

S35: 168.23 remaining points ÷ 224.28 linear points = 0.75×

S34: 0.0 remaining points ÷ 0.0 linear points = N/A×

Momentum subtotal: 0.0 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Ridge diagnostic by variable (0% model weight)

Baseline/intercept: 97.04 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available in final 24h: 0.0 coefficient × 0.0 standardized value = 0.0 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available in hours 24–72: 5.11 coefficient × 0.18 standardized value = 0.91 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available in days 3–7: 10.81 coefficient × 0.35 standardized value = 3.8 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Time available before final week: 44.04 coefficient × 0.24 standardized value = 10.43 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Recent velocity: -107.69 coefficient × -0.03 standardized value = 3.11 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Log activity: 0.0 coefficient × 0.0 standardized value = 0.0 raw → 0.0 weighted pts

Regression subtotal = 0.0 pts (raw total 115.3)

Historical analog, broken down (100% model weight)

Same-stage historical gain: 67.63 × 1.0 = 67.63 pts

Activity adjustment = 0.0 pts

Lower-rank promotion-pressure adjustment = 0.0 pts

Historical subtotal = 67.63 pts

Non-decreasing floor adjustment = 0.0 pts

Modeled gain = 0.0 momentum + 67.63 historical analog + 0.0 floor = 67.63 pts

Predicted final = 800.0 current + 67.63 final gain = 867.6

Forecast attribution

Forecast factor	Calculation	Weight/type	Contribution	What it does
Recent momentum	0.0 pts/day × 36.74 days × 0.75 rush = 0.0 pts; reliability 0% vs. 6.11 historical pts/day	0%	+0.0 pts	Recency-weighted growth from the latest five cutoff intervals.
Historical same-stage gain	67.63 pts × 100%	100%	+67.63 pts	Median remaining gain at the same time-to-end in prior seasons.
Activity adjustment	1.0× multiplier	Analog modifier	+0.0 pts	Neutral when activity is unavailable or the rank is filled.
Lower-rank pressure	1.0× multiplier	Analog modifier	+0.0 pts	Uses the movement of the tier immediately below a censored rank.
Non-negative floor	Prevents a negative remaining gain	Constraint	+0.0 pts	The predicted cutoff cannot fall below its current value.
Final expected rise	0.0 momentum + 67.63 adjusted analog + 0.0 floor	Final	+67.63 pts	800.0 + 67.63 = 867.6

Every row above contributes to the final forecast. Expand the diagnostic details to inspect individual daily momentum weights, historical rush inputs, and the unused ridge output.

How it works: the latest five cutoff changes are recency-weighted into a points-per-day pace, projected across the remaining time, and adjusted once for the typical end-of-season rush at the same stage of prior seasons. Momentum supplies 70% of a filled-rank forecast. For a censored rank, momentum receives at most 55%, scaled by how much real movement is observable relative to history; unused weight transfers to the historical same-stage analog. Ridge output is diagnostic only. Each rank is forecast independently. The range reflects momentum backtest error and disagreement between seasons.

🗂️ Rank Cutoff Season Comparison

Pick a rank and compare the selected season against the previous seasons of the same league type.

Rank

Cut Off	S39	S38	S37	S36	S35
FINAL	—	—	1,352	1,512	1,717
1 Hour	—	—	1,350 (+2)	1,511 (+1)	1,717 (+0)
3 Hours	—	—	1,348 (+4)	1,509 (+3)	1,716 (+1)
6 Hours	—	—	1,343 (+9)	1,506 (+6)	1,715 (+2)
9 Hours	—	—	1,340 (+12)	1,502 (+10)	1,713 (+4)
12 Hours	—	—	1,339 (+13)	1,501 (+11)	1,712 (+5)
18 Hours	—	—	1,334 (+18)	1,494 (+18)	1,710 (+7)
1 Day	—	—	1,331 (+21)	1,491 (+21)	1,708 (+9)
2 Days	—	—	1,325 (+27)	1,483 (+29)	1,703 (+14)
3 Days	—	—	1,318 (+34)	1,472 (+40)	1,697 (+20)
4 Days	—	—	1,313 (+39)	1,460 (+52)	1,690 (+27)
5 Days	—	—	1,308 (+44)	1,456 (+56)	1,685 (+32)
6 Days	—	—	1,305 (+47)	1,449 (+63)	1,681 (+36)
7 Days	—	—	1,301 (+51)	1,443 (+69)	1,676 (+41)
8 Days	—	—	1,298 (+54)	1,438 (+74)	1,673 (+44)
9 Days	—	—	1,293 (+59)	1,433 (+79)	1,665 (+52)
10 Days	—	—	1,289 (+63)	1,427 (+85)	1,663 (+54)

⭐ Top Monsters by Rank

🎯 Skill Ceiling Analysis

Win and pick rates across P1–P2, P3–G1, and G2–G3. Skill ceiling is the G2–G3 minus P1–P2 win-rate gap. Monsters must have at least a 0.5% overall pick rate and 100 appearances in each bracket. Labels require a statistically significant endpoint difference at 95% confidence; otherwise the result is inconclusive.

Monster ⇅	P1–P2 WR ⇅	P3–G1 WR ⇅	G2–G3 WR ⇅	Skill Ceiling ⇅	P1–P2 Pick Rate ⇅	P3–G1 Pick Rate ⇅	G2–G3 Pick Rate ⇅	Analysis
Orphina (Wind)	49.6%	51.4%	62.0%	+12.4%	0.94%	1.23%	1.09%	High Skill Ceiling
Zibala (Water)	50.4%	50.5%	39.4%	-11.0%	4.42%	4.35%	1.26%	Noob Friendly
Narsha (Light)	50.9%	51.4%	42.6%	-8.3%	1.44%	1.37%	0.69%	Inconclusive
Isis (Light)	51.7%	52.2%	43.5%	-8.2%	0.99%	1.20%	0.84%	Inconclusive
Jamire (Wind)	51.9%	51.9%	59.2%	+7.3%	1.42%	1.63%	0.91%	Inconclusive
Bastet (Water)	45.7%	52.1%	52.5%	+6.9%	0.77%	0.78%	0.89%	Inconclusive
Qilin Slasher / Zenitsu Agatsuma (Water)	49.7%	51.3%	56.5%	+6.9%	1.22%	1.30%	2.83%	High Skill Ceiling
Night Fang / Aragorn (Water)	51.6%	49.0%	44.8%	-6.8%	2.67%	2.23%	3.05%	Noob Friendly
Eludia (Light)	43.6%	43.3%	36.8%	-6.8%	1.67%	1.78%	1.16%	Inconclusive
Craig / M. BISON (Light)	48.9%	46.1%	42.4%	-6.5%	5.22%	9.74%	8.99%	Noob Friendly
Jessica (Light)	50.8%	47.8%	57.0%	+6.2%	0.72%	0.65%	0.91%	Inconclusive
Cynthia (Fire)	45.7%	42.0%	39.6%	-6.1%	0.72%	0.66%	0.68%	Inconclusive
Qilin Slasher / Zenitsu Agatsuma (Dark)	50.7%	50.3%	56.3%	+5.7%	1.74%	1.32%	0.80%	Inconclusive
Taebaek / Hwoarang (Light)	53.2%	51.6%	47.5%	-5.7%	2.30%	5.02%	4.79%	Noob Friendly
Giou (Wind)	50.3%	48.6%	44.7%	-5.6%	5.61%	5.65%	3.25%	Noob Friendly
Gideon (Water)	51.8%	55.0%	57.3%	+5.5%	2.11%	1.76%	1.57%	Inconclusive
Nephthys (Dark)	48.6%	47.4%	43.3%	-5.3%	3.51%	4.71%	6.23%	Noob Friendly
Eleanor (Light)	51.7%	51.4%	46.4%	-5.3%	1.84%	2.29%	2.86%	Noob Friendly
Lucia / Pure Vanilla Cookie (Fire)	51.8%	49.5%	46.6%	-5.2%	1.81%	2.67%	2.08%	Inconclusive
ROBO-E65 (Light)	44.4%	43.3%	39.3%	-5.1%	1.75%	2.21%	1.46%	Inconclusive
Frieren (Light)	51.0%	50.0%	46.0%	-5.0%	2.17%	1.64%	1.29%	Inconclusive
Elsharion (Light)	48.1%	49.8%	53.0%	+4.9%	2.92%	2.04%	2.93%	High Skill Ceiling
Parjanya (Water)	52.3%	51.7%	47.4%	-4.9%	4.79%	3.81%	1.82%	Inconclusive
Kai / Jin Kazama (Fire)	50.3%	51.5%	45.6%	-4.7%	2.10%	2.62%	3.29%	Noob Friendly
Thebae (Dark)	49.8%	49.7%	54.4%	+4.5%	1.62%	1.36%	0.95%	Inconclusive
Artamiel (Light)	51.8%	51.5%	47.3%	-4.5%	2.37%	1.23%	0.94%	Inconclusive
Helena (Fire)	54.2%	52.1%	49.6%	-4.5%	1.54%	1.63%	0.89%	Inconclusive
Eshir 2A (Light)	49.6%	51.1%	54.1%	+4.5%	4.48%	4.76%	3.94%	High Skill Ceiling
Elder Horn / Legolas (Light)	50.4%	48.2%	45.9%	-4.5%	0.74%	1.29%	2.03%	Inconclusive
Masha (Fire)	49.2%	48.0%	44.8%	-4.4%	3.08%	2.66%	3.57%	Noob Friendly
Jager (Light)	52.6%	51.0%	48.3%	-4.4%	6.81%	8.23%	10.23%	Noob Friendly
Tarnisha / Yennefer (Fire)	48.2%	51.9%	52.5%	+4.3%	3.38%	3.02%	5.28%	High Skill Ceiling
Devaraja (Dark)	53.3%	52.7%	49.2%	-4.1%	2.27%	3.22%	2.89%	Inconclusive
Karuel and Lanoah (Fire)	52.7%	52.4%	48.7%	-4.0%	1.70%	2.67%	1.49%	Inconclusive
Misty (Light)	51.7%	52.0%	55.6%	+3.9%	4.11%	2.98%	3.34%	Inconclusive
Verad (Water)	51.0%	48.9%	54.7%	+3.7%	0.90%	1.10%	1.96%	Inconclusive
Maximilian (Dark)	47.0%	46.3%	43.3%	-3.7%	3.29%	3.41%	1.47%	Inconclusive
Julianne (Light)	51.9%	49.8%	48.2%	-3.7%	3.09%	2.16%	1.44%	Inconclusive
Ganymede (Wind)	52.3%	54.0%	55.8%	+3.6%	1.01%	2.98%	6.44%	High Skill Ceiling
Fern (Light)	53.0%	52.2%	49.4%	-3.6%	2.52%	3.75%	4.56%	Inconclusive
Pater (Dark)	51.6%	48.9%	48.1%	-3.5%	1.43%	1.99%	2.16%	Inconclusive
Mei Hou Wang (Fire)	51.7%	49.1%	48.2%	-3.5%	14.87%	10.55%	7.61%	Noob Friendly
Chandra (Water)	49.1%	50.7%	52.6%	+3.5%	7.90%	5.07%	4.80%	Inconclusive
Mortera (Light)	52.3%	52.2%	55.8%	+3.5%	0.47%	0.86%	1.98%	Inconclusive
Lucifer (Light)	40.3%	42.2%	43.7%	+3.4%	2.33%	2.42%	1.52%	Inconclusive
Vancliffe / RYU (Dark)	49.0%	48.9%	45.6%	-3.4%	1.71%	1.23%	0.95%	Inconclusive
Elenoa (Light)	49.1%	49.7%	45.9%	-3.3%	1.22%	0.72%	0.85%	Inconclusive
Daphnis (Fire)	49.4%	47.6%	46.0%	-3.3%	3.60%	2.89%	1.86%	Inconclusive
Beelzebub (Dark)	51.6%	51.5%	48.3%	-3.3%	5.48%	7.45%	9.53%	Noob Friendly
Trinity (Dark)	42.6%	39.6%	39.3%	-3.3%	0.81%	1.25%	1.37%	Inconclusive
Psamathe (Water)	44.0%	43.6%	40.7%	-3.3%	2.62%	2.25%	1.65%	Inconclusive
Ethna (Wind)	49.5%	52.3%	52.6%	+3.2%	7.53%	7.48%	9.43%	High Skill Ceiling
Old Wood / Gandalf (Water)	49.4%	51.1%	52.7%	+3.2%	7.74%	3.98%	1.68%	Inconclusive
Chiwu (Fire)	46.4%	47.2%	49.6%	+3.1%	5.38%	2.51%	1.47%	Inconclusive
Woosa (Water)	51.9%	50.0%	48.8%	-3.1%	29.13%	24.44%	20.33%	Noob Friendly
Triton (Wind)	47.4%	48.9%	50.4%	+3.0%	3.05%	4.07%	5.49%	Inconclusive
Veromos (Dark)	51.2%	50.7%	54.2%	+3.0%	5.78%	3.74%	2.99%	Inconclusive
Douglas / RYU (Fire)	47.7%	46.3%	50.6%	+2.9%	3.97%	2.13%	1.61%	Inconclusive
Feng Yan (Wind)	47.4%	47.6%	44.5%	-2.9%	2.50%	0.85%	0.82%	Inconclusive
Veronica (Light)	50.8%	52.3%	48.0%	-2.8%	1.56%	2.04%	2.11%	Inconclusive
Vermilion Bird Dancer / Nezuko Kamado (Dark)	52.8%	51.2%	50.0%	-2.8%	1.29%	1.56%	1.86%	Inconclusive
Velaska (Dark)	49.2%	46.5%	46.5%	-2.7%	8.54%	13.91%	16.58%	Noob Friendly
Hathor (Wind)	54.2%	54.5%	56.9%	+2.7%	0.90%	2.63%	5.18%	Inconclusive
Valantis (Light)	50.1%	51.2%	52.9%	+2.7%	1.58%	0.99%	1.68%	Inconclusive
Elder Horn / Legolas (Fire)	47.5%	48.3%	50.2%	+2.7%	4.40%	5.29%	11.83%	High Skill Ceiling
Elena / Pure Vanilla Cookie (Dark)	53.0%	52.5%	50.3%	-2.7%	3.94%	7.83%	11.18%	Noob Friendly
Lora (Light)	49.4%	49.1%	46.8%	-2.6%	3.72%	4.92%	5.91%	Inconclusive
Miruel and Graciah (Light)	48.4%	50.1%	51.0%	+2.6%	0.90%	1.15%	1.34%	Inconclusive
Abellio (Water)	52.1%	52.8%	54.7%	+2.6%	6.31%	9.75%	10.51%	High Skill Ceiling
Shahat / Bayek (Wind)	48.8%	46.6%	46.2%	-2.6%	5.12%	4.63%	4.85%	Inconclusive
Vivachel (Dark)	51.3%	49.5%	48.7%	-2.6%	10.57%	16.78%	12.93%	Noob Friendly
Bella (Dark)	49.9%	50.3%	52.5%	+2.5%	1.19%	1.55%	2.47%	Inconclusive
N1X (Dark)	52.2%	54.4%	54.6%	+2.4%	0.85%	1.02%	0.76%	Inconclusive
Moore / RYU (Water)	46.5%	48.1%	48.8%	+2.3%	9.01%	7.76%	7.34%	Inconclusive
Werner / Satoru Gojo (Water)	47.3%	47.3%	45.1%	-2.3%	2.52%	2.39%	2.52%	Inconclusive
Jeogun (Fire)	49.0%	50.4%	46.6%	-2.3%	4.40%	3.42%	2.74%	Inconclusive
Sigrid / Eivor (Dark)	49.7%	50.0%	51.9%	+2.2%	3.30%	5.50%	7.63%	Inconclusive
Racuni (Fire)	50.5%	50.9%	52.7%	+2.2%	5.51%	6.51%	11.68%	Inconclusive
Han (Dark)	50.7%	49.8%	48.6%	-2.2%	3.26%	5.35%	6.07%	Inconclusive
Christina (Wind)	47.9%	46.2%	45.8%	-2.1%	2.77%	2.79%	2.19%	Inconclusive
Irène (Water)	50.1%	49.9%	52.2%	+2.1%	5.15%	6.74%	5.91%	Inconclusive
Mo Long (Water)	49.6%	49.0%	51.5%	+1.9%	2.24%	1.78%	0.84%	Inconclusive
Night Fang / Aragorn (Dark)	54.2%	52.8%	52.2%	-1.9%	2.75%	7.90%	12.07%	Inconclusive
Jaduel and Aepiah (Dark)	49.3%	50.5%	51.2%	+1.9%	0.73%	0.90%	2.12%	Inconclusive
Fern (Wind)	51.1%	50.5%	49.3%	-1.8%	1.57%	1.87%	1.35%	Inconclusive
Akroma (Light)	49.5%	46.5%	47.7%	-1.8%	1.08%	1.03%	0.82%	Inconclusive
Laima (Light)	53.6%	52.6%	51.7%	-1.8%	9.27%	19.20%	24.69%	Noob Friendly
Ashour / Bayek (Fire)	49.5%	49.6%	51.3%	+1.8%	3.18%	3.15%	7.01%	Inconclusive
Haegang (Water)	50.2%	49.6%	48.4%	-1.8%	30.15%	27.41%	18.02%	Inconclusive
7R1X (Fire)	49.9%	48.5%	51.7%	+1.8%	7.34%	5.28%	4.07%	Inconclusive
Wolyung (Dark)	48.1%	48.4%	46.4%	-1.7%	2.83%	2.99%	1.43%	Inconclusive
Nyx (Dark)	52.4%	51.5%	50.8%	-1.7%	5.57%	9.74%	12.80%	Inconclusive
Verdehile (Fire)	51.9%	52.0%	53.6%	+1.6%	3.45%	4.18%	5.74%	Inconclusive
Tesarion (Fire)	48.7%	49.0%	47.1%	-1.6%	6.26%	2.76%	1.08%	Inconclusive
Aya / Nobara Kugisaki (Wind)	47.9%	45.8%	49.4%	+1.4%	3.85%	2.06%	0.98%	Inconclusive
Stark (Dark)	51.4%	50.0%	50.0%	-1.4%	5.54%	13.36%	19.53%	Inconclusive
Kiara / Kassandra (Dark)	50.8%	50.1%	49.4%	-1.4%	1.99%	2.61%	1.49%	Inconclusive
Ramael and Judiah (Water)	51.6%	53.4%	52.9%	+1.4%	3.33%	5.40%	8.34%	Inconclusive
Mi Ying (Dark)	50.1%	48.8%	48.6%	-1.4%	0.87%	0.51%	0.71%	Inconclusive
Tian Lang (Light)	50.6%	49.8%	49.1%	-1.4%	3.19%	5.38%	5.19%	Inconclusive
Tetsuya / Megumi Fushiguro (Fire)	48.1%	49.0%	49.4%	+1.3%	15.15%	14.25%	15.72%	Inconclusive
Son Zhang Lao (Dark)	50.4%	48.5%	49.2%	-1.3%	5.15%	9.32%	11.09%	Inconclusive
Ereshion (Wind)	47.3%	48.4%	48.6%	+1.3%	8.32%	12.68%	16.81%	Inconclusive
Tetsuya / Megumi Fushiguro (Dark)	48.2%	47.2%	46.9%	-1.3%	2.68%	3.76%	3.29%	Inconclusive
Duke / Paul Phoenix (Wind)	52.1%	49.2%	50.8%	-1.2%	2.17%	4.32%	6.41%	Inconclusive
Actaeon (Dark)	52.6%	50.1%	53.8%	+1.2%	0.72%	0.91%	0.75%	Inconclusive
Lamiella (Water)	47.0%	46.3%	45.8%	-1.2%	6.50%	5.36%	2.04%	Inconclusive
Oliver (Wind)	49.8%	50.9%	51.0%	+1.2%	25.55%	28.76%	31.28%	Inconclusive
Shizuka (Water)	51.0%	51.1%	49.8%	-1.2%	12.02%	10.11%	6.35%	Inconclusive
Nana (Water)	50.2%	49.5%	49.0%	-1.2%	2.28%	2.97%	2.63%	Inconclusive
Karnal / M. BISON (Fire)	49.7%	50.0%	50.9%	+1.2%	2.55%	2.29%	0.70%	Inconclusive
White Tiger Blade Master / Inosuke Hashibira (Fire)	49.9%	48.9%	48.6%	-1.2%	2.43%	3.17%	5.96%	Inconclusive
Chakra (Wind)	47.8%	47.8%	46.7%	-1.1%	3.04%	1.79%	1.07%	Inconclusive
Douman (Dark)	50.4%	50.2%	51.5%	+1.1%	2.00%	1.56%	1.49%	Inconclusive
Ongyouki (Dark)	48.3%	50.0%	47.2%	-1.1%	1.04%	1.64%	2.30%	Inconclusive
Layla (Wind)	49.4%	49.7%	50.5%	+1.1%	10.22%	9.67%	7.52%	Inconclusive
Bolverk (Water)	50.2%	49.3%	51.2%	+1.1%	12.62%	9.55%	7.43%	Inconclusive
Seimei (Light)	51.8%	51.1%	50.7%	-1.1%	4.06%	6.74%	7.65%	Inconclusive
Jackson (Dark)	52.8%	50.5%	53.8%	+1.0%	0.60%	1.27%	1.91%	Inconclusive
Old Wood / Gandalf (Fire)	50.4%	49.9%	51.4%	+1.0%	2.51%	2.87%	4.96%	Inconclusive
Leo (Wind)	47.6%	47.7%	48.7%	+1.0%	12.94%	10.94%	7.34%	Inconclusive
Pontos (Light)	48.5%	52.5%	49.4%	+1.0%	1.21%	1.20%	1.70%	Inconclusive
Anavel (Water)	51.3%	50.0%	50.3%	-0.9%	8.56%	5.57%	5.64%	Inconclusive
Vendhan (Fire)	47.2%	46.7%	48.1%	+0.9%	2.06%	1.37%	0.68%	Inconclusive
51LV3R (Light)	51.0%	51.4%	50.1%	-0.9%	1.62%	2.02%	5.36%	Inconclusive
Velajuel (Fire)	51.1%	51.0%	52.0%	+0.9%	6.13%	3.77%	1.90%	Inconclusive
Federica / Kassandra (Fire)	49.2%	48.7%	50.0%	+0.8%	6.19%	3.69%	1.57%	Inconclusive
Xing Zhe (Wind)	50.3%	49.7%	51.0%	+0.8%	23.10%	16.34%	11.34%	Inconclusive
Gapsoo (Dark)	51.8%	51.2%	51.1%	-0.8%	12.32%	15.32%	12.87%	Inconclusive
Juno (Fire)	50.6%	50.2%	49.9%	-0.8%	14.43%	18.71%	19.45%	Inconclusive
Josephine (Water)	50.7%	51.0%	49.9%	-0.8%	17.69%	18.30%	20.84%	Inconclusive
Kovarci (Light)	51.6%	51.0%	50.8%	-0.8%	5.44%	7.30%	10.06%	Inconclusive
Werner / Satoru Gojo (Light)	49.1%	48.4%	50.0%	+0.8%	3.08%	5.01%	7.91%	Inconclusive
Laika (Fire)	47.0%	50.3%	46.3%	-0.7%	6.63%	2.62%	0.77%	Inconclusive
Stark (Wind)	50.3%	48.8%	49.6%	-0.7%	26.13%	21.46%	18.83%	Inconclusive
Okeanos (Fire)	51.4%	51.3%	50.6%	-0.7%	12.19%	15.99%	20.81%	Inconclusive
ROBO-G92 (Wind)	50.6%	52.0%	50.0%	-0.6%	0.95%	1.08%	0.65%	Inconclusive
Sonia (Wind)	51.8%	50.9%	51.1%	-0.6%	17.45%	17.13%	20.72%	Inconclusive
Berghild / Eivor (Light)	50.5%	51.6%	50.0%	-0.5%	1.07%	1.13%	1.02%	Inconclusive
Yeonhong (Light)	49.7%	49.6%	49.2%	-0.5%	4.83%	7.44%	10.21%	Inconclusive
Wedjat (Light)	50.7%	49.7%	51.2%	+0.5%	4.02%	4.74%	6.34%	Inconclusive
Jeongnam (Water)	52.2%	52.7%	51.7%	-0.5%	1.63%	2.76%	4.74%	Inconclusive
Diana (Wind)	50.5%	52.2%	50.0%	-0.5%	4.25%	4.32%	4.91%	Inconclusive
Werner / Satoru Gojo (Dark)	48.7%	52.0%	48.2%	-0.5%	1.13%	1.22%	1.05%	Inconclusive
Zenisek (Dark)	51.0%	49.0%	51.5%	+0.5%	0.93%	1.63%	3.87%	Inconclusive
Seara (Wind)	50.4%	50.8%	50.8%	+0.4%	23.15%	22.79%	23.22%	Inconclusive
Shi Hou (Water)	50.8%	50.4%	50.5%	-0.4%	31.50%	38.26%	44.52%	Inconclusive
Duke / Paul Phoenix (Fire)	50.7%	49.9%	50.3%	-0.4%	13.81%	15.09%	15.75%	Inconclusive
Geldnir (Light)	51.9%	52.2%	52.2%	+0.3%	0.94%	1.18%	1.60%	Inconclusive
Sekhmet (Fire)	50.7%	49.8%	51.0%	+0.3%	7.41%	11.93%	10.13%	Inconclusive
Chow (Water)	50.2%	48.8%	49.8%	-0.3%	16.62%	14.03%	12.16%	Inconclusive
Miles (Water)	48.2%	47.5%	48.0%	-0.2%	4.34%	1.96%	1.58%	Inconclusive
Woonsa (Dark)	47.9%	48.1%	48.1%	+0.2%	2.70%	5.06%	9.68%	Inconclusive
Tablo (Light)	53.7%	54.2%	53.4%	-0.2%	1.35%	1.72%	1.48%	Inconclusive
Vermilion Bird Dancer / Nezuko Kamado (Water)	45.6%	47.6%	45.8%	+0.2%	0.85%	0.98%	0.68%	Inconclusive
Ella (Light)	52.6%	52.1%	52.4%	-0.2%	3.13%	4.64%	4.25%	Inconclusive
Ragdoll (Dark)	51.9%	51.3%	51.8%	-0.1%	6.15%	7.17%	5.80%	Inconclusive
Vanessa (Fire)	49.6%	49.6%	49.6%	+0.1%	28.49%	22.06%	22.78%	Inconclusive
Carlos (Fire)	47.6%	45.4%	47.7%	+0.1%	2.23%	1.65%	1.26%	Inconclusive
Sagar / M. BISON (Wind)	49.8%	52.1%	49.6%	-0.1%	2.11%	2.73%	2.60%	Inconclusive
Angela / Pure Vanilla Cookie (Wind)	52.0%	51.0%	51.9%	0%	20.24%	11.87%	6.82%	Inconclusive
Giana (Dark)	52.1%	51.1%	52.1%	0%	12.60%	20.23%	20.04%	Inconclusive